Coronavirus 2019-nCoV Covid-19

Below are Coronavirus Predictions, 2019-nCoV
(Covid-19) Projected Predictions 3-9 day average
DateProjected ConfirmedProjected DeathsConfirmedDeathsQuarantined
23.01.202083025830258,420
24.01.20201,287411,2874113,967
25.01.20201,975561,9755621,556
26.01.20202,744802,7448030,453
27.01.20204,5151064,51510644,132
28.01.20206,0571326,05713259,990
29.01.20207,7831707,78317081,947
30.01.20209,6922139,692213102,427
31.01.202011,79125911,791259118,478
1.02.202014,38030414,380304137,594
2.02.202017,20536117,205361152,700
3.02.202020,44042520,440425171,329
4.02.202024,32449024,324490185,555
5.02.202028,01856328,018563186,354
6.02.202031,16163731,161637186,045
7.02.202034,54672234,546722189,660
8.02.202037,19881137,198811188,183
9.02.202040,17190840,171908187,518
10.02.202042,6381,01642,6381,016187,728
11.02.202044,6531,11344,6531,113185,037
12.02.202059,8041,36759,8041,367181,386
13.02.202063,8511,38063,8511,380177,984
14.02.202066,4921,52366,4921,523169,039
15.02.202068,5001,66568,5001,665158,764
16.02.202070,5481,77070,5481,770150,539
17.02.202072,4361,86872,4361,868141,552
18.02.202074,1852,00474,1852,004135,881
19.02.202074,5762,11874,5762,118126,363
20.02.202075,9712,235
21.02.202077,3912,359
22.02.202078,8382,490
23.02.202080,3132,628
24.02.202081,8152,773
25.02.202083,3442,927
26.02.202084,9033,089
27.02.202086,4913,260
28.02.202088,1083,441
29.02.202089,7563,632
1.03.202091,4343,833
2.03.202093,1444,045
3.03.202094,8864,269
4.03.202096,6604,506
5.03.202098,4684,755
6.03.2020100,3095,019
7.03.2020102,1855,297
8.03.2020104,0965,590
9.03.2020106,0425,900
10.03.2020108,0256,227
11.03.2020110,0456,572
12.03.2020112,1036,936
13.03.2020114,1997,320
14.03.2020116,3357,726
15.03.2020118,5108,154
16.03.2020120,7278,605
17.03.2020122,9849,082
18.03.2020125,2849,585
19.03.2020127,62710,116
20.03.2020130,01310,677


Interesting Facts
Confirmed % is the change from prior day to current date change in percentage. Death % is the change from prior day to current date change in percentage. The below gives a slight idea of the accuracy of the data being received each day.
DateConfirmed%Death%
24.01.20201,28755.06%4164%
25.01.20201,97553.46%5636.59%
26.01.20202,74438.94%8042.86%
27.01.20204,51564.54%10632.5%
28.01.20206,05734.15%13224.53%
29.01.20207,78328.5%17028.79%
30.01.20209,69224.53%21325.29%
31.01.202011,79121.66%25921.6%
1.02.202014,38021.96%30417.37%
2.02.202017,20519.65%36118.75%
3.02.202020,44018.8%42517.73%
4.02.202024,32419.0%49015.29%
5.02.202028,01815.19%56314.9%
6.02.202031,16111.22%63713.14%
7.02.202034,54610.86%72213.34%
8.02.202037,1987.68%81112.33%
9.02.202040,1717.99%90811.96%
10.02.202042,6386.14%1,01611.89%
11.02.202044,6534.73%1,1139.55%
12.02.202059,80433.93%1,36722.82%
13.02.202063,8516.77%1,3800.95%
14.02.202066,4924.14%1,52310.36%
15.02.202068,5003.02%1,6659.32%
16.02.202070,5482.99%1,7706.31%
17.02.202072,4362.68%1,8685.54%
18.02.202074,1852.41%2,0047.28%
19.02.202074,5760.53%2,1185.69%
From the hospitalization period to death, the average ESTIMATION median days being 3-4 days(Bear in mind median days from first symptom to death were 14.0). We should in theory see from any large spike from the Confirmed %, see a spike in the deaths %, at 1-8 days later. The 64.54% would appear to represent a abnormality in the data, its caused by a kit shortage, then followed by a bottle neck of testing.

Extra Info: The median days from first symptom to death were 14.0. The median time from onset of symptoms to first hospital admission was 7.0 days (4.0-8.0), to shortness of breath was 8.0 days (5.0-13.0), to ARDS was 9.0 days (8.0-14.0), to mechanical ventilation was 10.5 days (7.0-14.0), and to ICU admission was 10.5 days. Case fatality rate, calculating CFR info -->



Confirmed cases at 12.02.2020 and onwards, are now reporting both clinically diagnosed and lab-confirmed.

12.02.2020 Doubled up data on the 12th, creating bad data for deaths from 12th to 13th as the balancing it out period on 13th.

17.02.2020 Death data no longer adds up for the 16.02.2020.

 Daily updated data on pneumonia supplied by
nhc.gov.cn/yjb/s7860/new_list.shtml
nhc.gov.cn/xcs/yqtb/list_gzbd.shtml
wjw.hubei.gov.cn/fbjd/dtyw/

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